Buy these — the reliable wins

📺 TVs and home theater

The classic Black Friday category. Last year's OLED and QLED models drop hardest; look for 55" and 65" sets from LG, Samsung, TCL and Hisense. Best Buy and Walmart win on doorbusters; Amazon matches almost everything online.

🎧 Headphones and earbuds

Flagship noise-cancellers (Sony, Bose, Apple) reliably hit their annual lows. If you missed a deal in October, Black Friday week is your second (and usually better) chance.

💻 Laptops and tablets

Previous-generation machines see 30–40% cuts. Best Buy dominates doorbusters; Amazon has the widest selection. Previous-gen iPads and Galaxy Tabs are perennial winners.

🍳 Small kitchen appliances

Air fryers, espresso machines, stand mixers and Dutch ovens hit their lowest prices of the year — KitchenAid's mixer colors alone are a Black Friday tradition.

🧸 Toys and board games

The popular lists sell out early — buy toys in early November, not on the day. Board games routinely hit 40–50% off.

🤖 Robot vacuums and smart home

Roomba, Roborock and Shark models see some of the steepest percentage discounts of any category, and smart speakers/bundles are loss leaders.

Skip these — the fake-out categories

  • New-flagship phones — rarely discounted; carriers use gift-card math that isn't a real discount.
  • Brand-new releases of anything — released in fall specifically to sell at full price through the holidays.
  • "Doorbuster" furniture and mattresses — the "was" price is usually fictional year-round.
  • Generic accessories — cables, cases and chargers are cheap all year; a "50% off" sticker means nothing.

Where to shop for what

CategoryFirst stopRunner-up
TVs & electronicsBest BuyWalmart
Everything, biggest volumeAmazonTarget
PC parts & gamingNeweggeBay
Bulk gifting & bundlesCostcoWalmart
Tools & garageHome Depot—

The 60-second checklist

  1. Pick three priority categories and set target prices.
  2. Install CamelCamelCamel or Keepa for price history on Amazon items.
  3. Ask our AI advisor whether a price is genuinely good before checkout.
  4. Buy doorbusters early; let everything else ride to Cyber Monday.